Monday, March 16, 2009

Does Africa Risk Being Plunged into Conflict?

African leaders gathering in London this week have warned that the dire effects the economic downturn is beginning to have on the African continent could plunge many African countries into conflict. Citing half a million copper mining workers made redundant in Zambia, the halving of cotton prices, drop in tourism income, and reduction on remittances from Africans working overseas, leaders have warned that several countries risk instability.

This dire prediction runs contrary to The World Economic Forum 2009 Global Risks Report, which predicted that Africa would be less exposed to the effects of the economic downturn than areas such, for example, Asia. The report asserted that African countries have relatively fewer financial and real assets, and thus lower exposure to asset bubbles. Even their overall exposure to economic risks is small, reflecting in part their lagging integration into global markets. (For a copy of the WEF report contact David.

Strategic security risk assessment and security risks associated with expansion into new markets are subjects that are addressed in detail during Security Management Stage 3. The course presents a number of templates to identify and analyse strategic risks, and discusses how these can then be distilled into forecasting security risks at the operational level.

The next Security Management Stage 3 takes place 11-22 May 2009. Details can be found at:

http://www.arc-tc.com/pages/university_acredited_sm.asp#sm3